
\begin{table}
\caption{First Stage and Reduced Form Estimates of HPBM Results}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c c c }
\hline
 & First Stage & Homicide & Robbery & Assault & Vehicle Theft & First Stage & Homicide & Robbery & Assault & Vehicle Theft \\
\hline
$items/value * rac{1}{dist_1}$ & $2.13$             & $-2.09$             & $-54.54$             & $-112.21$              & $-174.16$             & $9.06$              & $-3.04$              & $-91.48$              & $-312.04$               & $-387.98$               \\
                                & $[0.74;\ 3.51]$    & $[-3.91;\ -0.27]$   & $[-75.70;\ -33.37]$  & $[-392.36;\ 167.94]$   & $[-299.38;\ -48.95]$  & $[3.74;\ 14.38]$    & $[-6.97;\ 0.89]$     & $[-142.62;\ -40.34]$  & $[-995.00;\ 370.92]$    & $[-655.60;\ -120.36]$   \\
$items/value * rac{1}{dist_6}$ & $0.00$             & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $0.00$                 & $0.00$                & $-203.78$           & $100.08$             & $1263.13$             & $60931.28$              & $21397.41$              \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$       & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$       & $[-439.23;\ 31.68]$ & $[-145.65;\ 345.80]$ & $[-183.71;\ 2709.97]$ & $[36925.53;\ 84937.02]$ & $[15260.16;\ 27534.66]$ \\
$items/value * ln(landarea)$    & $-37.52$           & $53.62$             & $230.43$             & $17857.89$             & $6948.84$             & $0.08$              & $0.33$               & $1.50$                & $8.41$                  & $10.67$                 \\
                                & $[-70.97;\ -4.07]$ & $[-56.45;\ 163.70]$ & $[-416.86;\ 877.73]$ & $[7107.01;\ 28608.76]$ & $[4305.53;\ 9592.15]$ & $[-0.05;\ 0.21]$    & $[0.14;\ 0.51]$      & $[0.09;\ 2.90]$       & $[-4.96;\ 21.77]$       & $[4.87;\ 16.46]$        \\
$items/value * 1[HIDTA]$        & $0.00$             & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $-0.00$                & $-0.00$               & $0.14$              & $-0.02$              & $-3.95$               & $-47.90$                & $-43.00$                \\
                                & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$      & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$     & $[-0.13;\ 0.41]$    & $[-0.30;\ 0.26]$     & $[-6.11;\ -1.79]$     & $[-74.51;\ -21.28]$     & $[-52.68;\ -33.32]$     \\
Percent Poverty                 & $-0.02$            & $0.01$              & $-0.02$              & $3.84$                 & $1.45$                & $-0.04$             & $0.01$               & $0.02$                & $4.62$                  & $1.72$                  \\
                                & $[-0.03;\ -0.01]$  & $[-0.04;\ 0.06]$    & $[-0.16;\ 0.11]$     & $[1.65;\ 6.04]$        & $[0.72;\ 2.18]$       & $[-0.06;\ -0.02]$   & $[-0.04;\ 0.06]$     & $[-0.11;\ 0.16]$      & $[2.45;\ 6.80]$         & $[1.00;\ 2.43]$         \\
Unemployment Rate               & $0.06$             & $0.00$              & $0.02$               & $1.96$                 & $-3.36$               & $0.13$              & $0.01$               & $-0.03$               & $0.98$                  & $-3.49$                 \\
                                & $[0.05;\ 0.08]$    & $[-0.06;\ 0.06]$    & $[-0.23;\ 0.28]$     & $[-3.95;\ 7.87]$       & $[-4.84;\ -1.88]$     & $[0.08;\ 0.17]$     & $[-0.05;\ 0.07]$     & $[-0.28;\ 0.22]$      & $[-4.97;\ 6.93]$        & $[-4.98;\ -1.99]$       \\
log(Population)                 & $0.82$             & $-0.81$             & $-12.97$             & $-111.01$              & $-81.70$              & $-0.01$             & $-0.90$              & $-13.73$              & $-112.03$               & $-81.72$                \\
                                & $[0.55;\ 1.09]$    & $[-1.26;\ -0.37]$   & $[-18.55;\ -7.40]$   & $[-156.25;\ -65.77]$   & $[-111.91;\ -51.50]$  & $[-0.49;\ 0.47]$    & $[-1.37;\ -0.44]$    & $[-19.49;\ -7.96]$    & $[-158.48;\ -65.57]$    & $[-112.54;\ -50.91]$    \\
Econmiss                        &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
                                &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
Murder Arrests$_{t-1}$          & $0.00$             & $-0.02$             & $0.16$               & $-0.55$                & $-0.09$               & $0.00$              & $-0.02$              & $0.16$                & $-0.54$                 & $-0.09$                 \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.03;\ -0.01]$   & $[0.01;\ 0.31]$      & $[-0.90;\ -0.20]$      & $[-0.21;\ 0.03]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.03;\ -0.01]$    & $[0.01;\ 0.31]$       & $[-0.90;\ -0.18]$       & $[-0.21;\ 0.03]$        \\
Rape Arrests$_{t-1}$            & $-0.00$            & $0.02$              & $-0.01$              & $-0.01$                & $0.12$                & $-0.00$             & $0.02$               & $-0.01$               & $-0.02$                 & $0.12$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.03;\ 0.06]$    & $[-0.04;\ 0.02]$     & $[-0.47;\ 0.45]$       & $[-0.00;\ 0.25]$      & $[-0.01;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.03;\ 0.06]$     & $[-0.04;\ 0.02]$      & $[-0.48;\ 0.44]$        & $[-0.01;\ 0.24]$        \\
Robbery Arrests$_{t-1}$         & $0.00$             & $0.03$              & $0.17$               & $-0.29$                & $0.17$                & $0.00$              & $0.03$               & $0.17$                & $-0.29$                 & $0.17$                  \\
                                & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.06]$    & $[0.05;\ 0.28]$      & $[-0.73;\ 0.15]$       & $[-0.15;\ 0.48]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.06]$     & $[0.05;\ 0.28]$       & $[-0.72;\ 0.15]$        & $[-0.13;\ 0.47]$        \\
Agv. Assault Arrests$_{t-1}$    & $-0.00$            & $0.00$              & $0.01$               & $0.42$                 & $0.07$                & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $0.01$                & $0.42$                  & $0.07$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[0.00;\ 0.02]$      & $[0.27;\ 0.57]$        & $[0.01;\ 0.13]$       & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$      & $[0.00;\ 0.02]$       & $[0.27;\ 0.58]$         & $[0.01;\ 0.13]$         \\
Burglary Arrests$_{t-1}$        & $0.00$             & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $0.03$                 & $-0.01$               & $0.00$              & $-0.00$              & $-0.00$               & $0.02$                  & $-0.01$                 \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$     & $[-0.08;\ 0.13]$       & $[-0.05;\ 0.02]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$      & $[-0.09;\ 0.13]$        & $[-0.05;\ 0.02]$        \\
Assault Arrests$_{t-1}$         & $0.00$             & $-0.00$             & $0.00$               & $0.42$                 & $0.01$                & $0.00$              & $-0.00$              & $0.00$                & $0.42$                  & $0.01$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.01]$     & $[0.35;\ 0.49]$        & $[-0.01;\ 0.03]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.00;\ 0.01]$      & $[0.35;\ 0.49]$         & $[-0.01;\ 0.03]$        \\
Weapons Arrests$_{t-1}$         & $0.00$             & $-0.00$             & $0.02$               & $0.08$                 & $0.04$                & $0.00$              & $-0.00$              & $0.02$                & $0.09$                  & $0.04$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$    & $[0.01;\ 0.04]$      & $[-0.13;\ 0.29]$       & $[-0.04;\ 0.11]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$     & $[0.01;\ 0.04]$       & $[-0.12;\ 0.30]$        & $[-0.03;\ 0.11]$        \\
Drug Sale Arrests$_{t-1}$       & $0.00$             & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $-0.00$                & $0.01$                & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $0.00$                & $-0.00$                 & $0.00$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.01]$     & $[-0.08;\ 0.08]$       & $[-0.02;\ 0.03]$      & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.00;\ 0.01]$      & $[-0.08;\ 0.07]$        & $[-0.02;\ 0.03]$        \\
Drug Possession Arrests$_{t-1}$ & $-0.00$            & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $0.00$                 & $0.00$                & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $-0.00$               & $0.00$                  & $0.00$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$  & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$   & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$       & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$       & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$     & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$        & $[0.00;\ 0.00]$         \\
Domestic Arrests$_{t-1}$        & $-0.00$            & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $-0.01$                & $0.01$                & $-0.00$             & $-0.00$              & $-0.00$               & $-0.01$                 & $0.01$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ -0.00]$  & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$     & $[-0.12;\ 0.10]$       & $[-0.02;\ 0.04]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.01;\ 0.01]$      & $[-0.12;\ 0.10]$        & $[-0.02;\ 0.04]$        \\
Small Offenses Arrests$_{t-1}$  & $0.00$             & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $-0.02$                & $0.00$                & $0.00$              & $0.00$               & $0.00$                & $-0.02$                 & $0.00$                  \\
                                & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$   & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.03;\ -0.01]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$      & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$    & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$     & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$      & $[-0.03;\ -0.01]$       & $[-0.00;\ 0.00]$        \\
Missing Arrests$_{t-1}$         & $0.02$             & $-0.59$             & $-3.88$              & $-71.10$               & $-22.26$              & $0.06$              & $-0.59$              & $-3.97$               & $-71.67$                & $-22.65$                \\
                                & $[-0.04;\ 0.09]$   & $[-0.97;\ -0.21]$   & $[-5.70;\ -2.06]$    & $[-101.94;\ -40.27]$   & $[-28.38;\ -16.14]$   & $[-0.13;\ 0.25]$    & $[-0.97;\ -0.21]$    & $[-5.78;\ -2.16]$     & $[-102.41;\ -40.93]$    & $[-28.70;\ -16.59]$     \\
Stock US items$_{t-1}$          &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
                                &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
Stock US value$_{t-1}$          &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
                                &                    &                     &                      &                        &                       &                     &                      &                       &                         &                         \\
\hline
Num. obs.                       & 36671              & 36671               & 36671                & 36671                  & 36671                 & 36671               & 36671                & 36671                 & 36671                   & 36671                   \\
R$^2$ (full model)              & 0.74               & 0.29                & 0.93                 & 0.85                   & 0.84                  & 0.77                & 0.29                 & 0.93                  & 0.85                    & 0.84                    \\
R$^2$ (proj model)              & 0.07               & 0.01                & 0.05                 & 0.05                   & 0.10                  & 0.01                & 0.01                 & 0.05                  & 0.06                    & 0.10                    \\
Adj. R$^2$ (full model)         & 0.71               & 0.23                & 0.93                 & 0.84                   & 0.82                  & 0.75                & 0.23                 & 0.92                  & 0.84                    & 0.82                    \\
Adj. R$^2$ (proj model)         & -0.02              & -0.08               & -0.03                & -0.03                  & 0.02                  & -0.08               & -0.08                & -0.04                 & -0.03                   & 0.02                    \\
\hline
\multicolumn{11}{l}{\scriptsize{}}
\end{tabular}
\label{tab:reducedHarris}
\end{center}
\end{table}
